ASSESSMENTS OF VULNERABILITY DUE TO CLIMATE CHANGE IN HA TINH CITY

Tóm tắt

Climate change is one of the most serious challenges to Ha Tinh City in the coming time, affecting the natural environment, socio-economic development, and especially people’s lives. This paper assesses the vulnerability due to climate change in Ha Tinh City by the ADB/NDF/ICEM and UNDP/GEF toolkits through investigating the exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity data of Ha Tinh City. The result shows that most communes and wards have moderate levels of vulnerability, particularly, Dai Nai ward is at a high level and Bac Ha at a low level. In the future, due to the increased risk of climate change, the vulnerability tends to increase, especially at the end of the century. The level of vulnerability of 13/16 wards/communes may increase by 1 or 2 levels, particularly, the Dai Nai, Nguyen Du, Tan Giang and Thach Hung communes/wards would have very high vulnerability. On the contrary, 4 out of 16 communes/wards (accounting for 25%) would be at average level of vulnerability, in which, vulnerability level of thee communes (Thach Linh, Tran Phu, Ha Huy Tap) would be unchanged compared to the current situation.